Final Score: Braves 9 - Nationals 4
Wednesday, September 17, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET
Braves @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Braves | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 430 | 387 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 0 |
| Stat | Braves | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 152 | 152 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 5.5 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 40% |
Recent Results
Braves
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 14
11-3
vs Houston Astros
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Houston Astros
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Houston Astros
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 20
2-18
Nationals
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 22
15-7