Final Score: Pirates 1 - Cubs 3
Saturday, August 16, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET
Pirates @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 479 | 454 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Pirates | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 123 | 121 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 42% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 30% | 61% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 17
5-12
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 14
0-14
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 22
8-14
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 7, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
Cubs
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3