Final Score: Pirates 3 - Cubs 2
Friday, August 15, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET

Pirates @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
51-71 Rating 1457
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.9
Cubs
68-52 Rating 1525
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cubs
All-time wins 478 454
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cubs
Games played 122 120
Avg runs scored 3.5 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.1
Win percentage 42% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 62%