Final Score: Yankees 3 - Red Sox 4
Saturday, June 14, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
42-26 Rating 1560
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Red Sox
35-36 Rating 1496
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 464 438
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 68 71
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.9
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.6
Win percentage 62% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 54%