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Final Score: Mets 4 - Cardinals 5
Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 6:15 PM ET

Mets @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
22-12 Rating 1543
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.3
Cardinals
15-19 Rating 1496
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Stat Mets Cardinals
All-time wins 339 332
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Cardinals
Games played 34 34
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.1 4.7
Win percentage 65% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 65%

Recent Results

Mets

@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 2, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
May 1, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 30, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Apr 29, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Washington Nationals
Apr 28, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 24
19-5
@ Washington Nationals
Apr 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Washington Nationals
Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Washington Nationals
Apr 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Apr 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3

Cardinals

vs New York Mets
May 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs New York Mets
May 2, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 1, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
@ Cincinnati Reds
Apr 30, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Apr 30, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Cincinnati Reds
Apr 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 27, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Apr 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4