Final Score: Mets 5 - Cardinals 6
Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 1:15 PM ET

Mets @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
22-11 Rating 1545
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.3
Cardinals
14-19 Rating 1494
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Cardinals
All-time wins 339 331
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.2 4.1
Last meeting 9 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Cardinals
Games played 33 33
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.1 4.7
Win percentage 67% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 62%