Final Score: Nationals 4 - Reds 1
Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
15-19 Rating 1454
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.6
Reds
18-16 Rating 1487
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Reds
All-time wins 246 269
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 11 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Reds
Games played 34 34
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.1
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.1
Win percentage 44% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 50%