Final Score: Nationals 1 - Reds 6
Friday, May 2, 2025 at 6:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
14-18 Rating 1453
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.6
Reds
17-15 Rating 1487
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Reds
All-time wins 245 268
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Reds
Games played 32 32
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.1
Avg runs conceded 5.2 3.9
Win percentage 44% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 50%