Final Score: Red Sox 2 - Blue Jays 4
Thursday, May 1, 2025 at 7:07 PM ET

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
17-15 Rating 1500
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.2
Blue Jays
14-16 Rating 1495
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
All-time wins 399 335
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.0 4.8
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
Games played 32 30
Avg runs scored 5.1 3.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.6
Win percentage 53% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 60%