Final Score: Marlins 6 - Red Sox 2
Wednesday, June 28, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
46-34 Rating 1482
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.5
Red Sox
40-40 Rating 1508
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Red Sox
All-time wins 14 31
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 6.1
Last meeting 10 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Red Sox
Games played 80 80
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.8
Win percentage 57% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 52%