Final Score: Blue Jays 5 - Red Sox 6
Monday, May 1, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
18-10 Rating 1552
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.2
Red Sox
15-14 Rating 1510
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 320 382
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.8 5.0
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 28 29
Avg runs scored 4.7 5.6
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.2
Win percentage 64% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 56%