Final Score: Phillies 7 - Nationals 6
Thursday, August 5, 2021 at 4:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
55-53 Rating 1495
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.3
Nationals
49-59 Rating 1497
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 461 443
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 9 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 108 108
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.7
Win percentage 51% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 50%