Final Score: Phillies 5 - Nationals 4
Tuesday, August 3, 2021 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
53-53 Rating 1491
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.4
Nationals
49-57 Rating 1501
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 459 443
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 106 106
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.7
Win percentage 50% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 52%