Final Score: Red Sox 11 - Nationals 4
Tuesday, July 3, 2018 at 6:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
57-29 Rating 1576
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Nationals
42-41 Rating 1523
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Nationals
All-time wins 16 12
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.6 4.8
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Nationals
Games played 86 83
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.8 3.9
Win percentage 66% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 48%