Final Score: Marlins 7 - Phillies 6
Saturday, October 3, 2015 at 4:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
69-90 Rating 1455
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Phillies
62-97 Rating 1441
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 168 207
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.9
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.0
Win percentage 43% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 46%