Final Score: Phillies 6 - Marlins 2
Tuesday, September 22, 2015 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
56-94 Rating 1431
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Marlins
64-86 Rating 1453
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 206 166
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 150 150
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.7
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.1
Win percentage 37% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 48%