Final Score: Phillies 6 - Marlins 5
Tuesday, May 20, 2014 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
19-22 Rating 1483
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Marlins
23-22 Rating 1455
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 191 152
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.1 4.4
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 41 45
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 46% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 77%