Final Score: Marlins 4 - Padres 5
Sunday, May 11, 2014 at 4:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
20-17 Rating 1455
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
17-21 Rating 1478
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 79 85
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 37 38
Avg runs scored 4.4 2.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.6
Win percentage 54% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 50%