Final Score: Reds 1 - Pirates 2
Saturday, September 29, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
95-62 Rating 1533
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.7
Pirates
76-81 Rating 1442
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Pirates
All-time wins 323 276
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Pirates
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.2
Win percentage 61% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 55%