Final Score: Reds 5 - Cubs 3
Thursday, September 20, 2012 at 2:20 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
90-59 Rating 1531
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.8
Cubs
58-91 Rating 1435
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 306 269
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 149 149
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.6
Win percentage 60% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 49%