Final Score: Reds 6 - Cubs 5
Wednesday, September 19, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
89-59 Rating 1529
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.7
Cubs
58-90 Rating 1436
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 305 269
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 148 148
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.6
Win percentage 60% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 49%