Final Score: Astros 5 - Reds 3
Friday, September 7, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Astros @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
42-95 Rating 1374
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
29%
71%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +1.7
Reds
83-55 Rating 1530
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Reds
All-time wins 347 362
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Reds
Games played 137 138
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.7
Win percentage 31% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 62%