Final Score: Phillies 2 - Marlins 5
Sunday, July 1, 2012 at 1:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
36-44 Rating 1528
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Marlins
37-40 Rating 1474
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 169 142
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.2 4.6
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 80 77
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.6
Win percentage 45% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 49%