Final Score: Astros 11 - Nationals 4
Thursday, April 19, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
4-8 Rating 1421
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.9
Nationals
10-3 Rating 1486
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Nationals
All-time wins 242 197
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Nationals
Games played 12 13
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.1 2.5
Win percentage 33% 77%
Away win % / Home win % 17% 86%