Final Score: Astros 5 - Marlins 4
Saturday, April 14, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Astros @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
3-4 Rating 1425
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.7
Marlins
3-5 Rating 1470
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Marlins
All-time wins 77 72
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Marlins
Games played 7 8
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.1
Win percentage 43% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 50%