Final Score: Blue Jays 2 - Rays 5
Sunday, September 25, 2011 at 1:40 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
80-78 Rating 1521
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.6
Rays
87-71 Rating 1554
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Rays
All-time wins 117 121
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Rays
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.7 3.8
Win percentage 51% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 56%