Final Score: Yankees 4 - Blue Jays 5
Friday, September 16, 2011 at 7:07 PM ET

Yankees @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
90-58 Rating 1586
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Blue Jays
75-74 Rating 1518
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Blue Jays
All-time wins 277 220
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.9 4.5
Last meeting 9 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Blue Jays
Games played 148 149
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.8
Win percentage 61% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 51%