Final Score: Marlins 1 - Phillies 2
Thursday, September 15, 2011 at 7:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
67-82 Rating 1472
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
Phillies
96-51 Rating 1593
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 137 165
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 5.2
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 149 147
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.2
Win percentage 45% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 69%