Final Score: Marlins 1 - Phillies 3
Thursday, September 15, 2011 at 2:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
67-81 Rating 1474
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.4
Phillies
95-51 Rating 1592
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 137 164
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 5.2
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 148 146
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.2
Win percentage 45% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 69%