Final Score: Cubs 5 - Astros 6
Tuesday, August 16, 2011 at 8:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
54-68 Rating 1471
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Astros
38-84 Rating 1412
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Astros
All-time wins 261 298
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Astros
Games played 122 122
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.9 5.1
Win percentage 44% 31%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 32%