Final Score: Padres 3 - Reds 5
Friday, August 12, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
53-66 Rating 1480
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.3
Reds
57-61 Rating 1489
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Reds
All-time wins 261 314
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Reds
Games played 119 118
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.7
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.4
Win percentage 45% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 52%