Final Score: Pirates 3 - Nationals 4
Saturday, July 2, 2011 at 3:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
42-40 Rating 1436
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.4
Nationals
41-42 Rating 1455
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Nationals
All-time wins 300 274
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Nationals
Games played 82 83
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.8
Win percentage 51% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 62%