Final Score: Yankees 6 - Blue Jays 4
Saturday, September 5, 2009 at 1:07 PM ET

Yankees @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
86-49 Rating 1594
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.8
Blue Jays
60-74 Rating 1495
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Blue Jays
All-time wins 257 203
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.5
Last meeting 0 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Blue Jays
Games played 135 134
Avg runs scored 5.7 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.7
Win percentage 64% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 51%