Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Blue Jays 1
Wednesday, August 19, 2009 at 7:07 PM ET

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
67-51 Rating 1563
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Blue Jays
55-62 Rating 1505
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
All-time wins 254 205
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 4.7
Last meeting 10 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
Games played 118 117
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.5
Win percentage 57% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 53%