Final Score: Nationals 5 - Reds 4
Sunday, August 16, 2009 at 1:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
42-75 Rating 1414
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.6
Reds
50-66 Rating 1449
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Reds
All-time wins 192 227
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.6
Last meeting 10 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Reds
Games played 117 116
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.7
Win percentage 36% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 28% 44%