Final Score: Dodgers 7 - Padres 6
Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 4:05 PM ET

Dodgers @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dodgers
51-30 Rating 1535
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.6
Padres
35-45 Rating 1452
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dodgers Padres
All-time wins 355 328
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 3.7
Last meeting 4 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Dodgers Padres
Games played 81 80
Avg runs scored 4.8 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.8 5.0
Win percentage 63% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 55%