Final Score: Reds 2 - Marlins 3
Monday, May 4, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Reds @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
13-11 Rating 1473
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Marlins
14-11 Rating 1500
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Marlins
All-time wins 77 58
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.1 4.6
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Marlins
Games played 24 25
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.0
Win percentage 54% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 69% 56%