Final Score: Orioles 3 - Blue Jays 4
Sunday, May 3, 2009 at 1:07 PM ET

Orioles @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
9-15 Rating 1445
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +1.3
Blue Jays
17-9 Rating 1540
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Blue Jays
All-time wins 213 241
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Blue Jays
Games played 24 26
Avg runs scored 5.2 6.0
Avg runs conceded 6.5 4.6
Win percentage 38% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 22% 75%