Final Score: Blue Jays 6 - Royals 8
Thursday, April 30, 2009 at 2:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
15-8 Rating 1540
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.4
Royals
11-10 Rating 1479
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Royals
All-time wins 172 169
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 3 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Royals
Games played 23 21
Avg runs scored 5.9 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.6
Win percentage 65% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 50%