Final Score: Yankees 4 - Red Sox 5
Friday, April 24, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
9-6 Rating 1557
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Red Sox
9-6 Rating 1567
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 312 302
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 15 15
Avg runs scored 5.6 5.6
Avg runs conceded 6.5 4.2
Win percentage 60% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 78%