Final Score: Pirates 3 - Astros 15
Sunday, September 16, 2007 at 2:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
66-82 Rating 1452
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Astros
64-84 Rating 1474
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 237 255
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 7 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 148 148
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.1
Win percentage 45% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 51%