Final Score: Cubs 4 - Astros 5
Tuesday, September 11, 2007 at 8:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
73-70 Rating 1482
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.2
Astros
62-81 Rating 1477
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Astros
All-time wins 227 267
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Astros
Games played 143 143
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.1
Win percentage 51% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 52%