Final Score: Astros 3 - Cubs 4
Saturday, September 1, 2007 at 1:05 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
61-74 Rating 1487
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Cubs
68-65 Rating 1482
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 267 225
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 135 133
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.2
Win percentage 45% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 51%