Final Score: Cubs 3 - Astros 2
Wednesday, September 12, 2007 at 8:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
73-71 Rating 1480
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.2
Astros
63-81 Rating 1479
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Astros
All-time wins 227 268
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Astros
Games played 144 144
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.1
Win percentage 51% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 53%