Final Score: Cubs 4 - Cardinals 2
Sunday, September 16, 2007 at 2:15 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
77-72 Rating 1487
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.4
Cardinals
70-77 Rating 1499
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 319 321
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 149 147
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.0
Win percentage 52% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 55%