Final Score: Yankees 4 - Red Sox 3
Sunday, September 16, 2007 at 8:05 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
84-64 Rating 1568
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.1
Red Sox
90-59 Rating 1558
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 302 293
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.6
Last meeting 1 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 148 149
Avg runs scored 5.9 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.0
Win percentage 57% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 64%