Final Score: Marlins 3 - Nationals 4
Tuesday, September 4, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
60-78 Rating 1467
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.2
Nationals
61-77 Rating 1464
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 117 105
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 138 138
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.7
Win percentage 43% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 49%