Final Score: Blue Jays 3 - Red Sox 5
Tuesday, September 4, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
70-67 Rating 1519
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.6
Red Sox
83-55 Rating 1557
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 188 238
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 5.1
Last meeting 10 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 137 138
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 51% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 64%