Final Score: Marlins 4 - Rays 3
Sunday, May 20, 2007 at 1:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
20-23 Rating 1495
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Rays
18-24 Rating 1437
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Rays
All-time wins 32 19
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.1 3.8
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Rays
Games played 43 42
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.2 6.0
Win percentage 47% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 50%