Final Score: Marlins 4 - Pirates 3
Wednesday, May 16, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
17-22 Rating 1491
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Pirates
17-21 Rating 1450
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Pirates
All-time wins 55 66
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 4.4
Last meeting 9 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Pirates
Games played 39 38
Avg runs scored 4.9 3.7
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.7
Win percentage 44% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 39%